Arizona: 2026 Week 7 recap

Arizona sits at No. 33 nationally with a 4–1 record, holding steady at a 10.7 rating after last week's dominant 34–7 win over Cincinnati. The blowout showcased what the Wildcats can do when clicking, but GIE's projection of 8.3 expected wins suggests some underlying volatility—the red-zone TD rate of 12% hints at inefficiency in scoring position, a drag on what should be a higher-octane offense. The playoff probability remains modest at 16%, a reflection of strength-of-schedule and Big 12 depth. Arizona travels to Morgantown this week facing a West Virginia team still sorting itself out; a road win would meaningfully reshape both the perception and the model's assessment of where these Wildcats actually belong.