Colorado State: 2026 Week 7 recap

Colorado State sits at 2–3 with a rating of −7.3, unmoved from last week after the Oregon State blowout—a 56–26 loss at home that exposed critical execution gaps. The red-zone touchdown rate of 21% tells the story: the Rams are squandering scoring opportunities when they reach the end zone. Third-down conversion sits at 33%, and they're being selective on fourth down at 36% aggression, neither metric suggesting confidence in this offense's ability to sustain drives. GIE projects 3.9 expected wins for the season and has Colorado State's playoff odds at essentially zero. This week brings Texas State to town as a chance to steady the ship, though the rating suggests the Rams need more than one win to meaningfully shift trajectory in a Pac-12 gauntlet.