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Colorado State

Rams · Pac-12

GIE rank
#126
of 138 FBS
Rating
1380
2026 Week 10
Record
3-5
2026 season
Proj record
4-7
11-game season

Head coach Jim Mora Year 1 with Colorado State

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
3.7
0.7 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
3 to 5
Final rank (90%)
#122 (112–129)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Colorado State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Wyoming Mountain West Win, 35-13 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Southern Utah Non-FBS Win, 58-24 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs BYU Big 12 Loss, 23-41 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at UTSA American Athletic Loss, 45-59 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Oregon State Pac-12 Loss, 26-56 Final
Wk 6 Bye
Wk 7 Oct 16 at Texas State Pac-12 Loss, 27-66 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs San Diego State Pac-12 Win, 56-49 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Utah State Pac-12 Loss, 14-31 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Boise State Pac-12 Win probability: 11%
Wk 11 Nov 15 at Washington State Pac-12 Win probability: 60%
Wk 12 Nov 22 at Fresno State Pac-12 Win probability: 16%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Colorado State: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Colorado State sits at 2–3 with a rating of –7.3, unmoved from last week after the Oregon State blowout—a 56–26 loss at home that exposed critical execution gaps. The red-zone touchdown rate of 21% tells the story: the Rams are…

  • Recap

    Colorado State: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Colorado State sits at 1–0 after a dominant 35–13 win over Wyoming in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at –11.6, placing them 105th nationally. The Rams' red-zone efficiency—a concerning 21%—suggests they're leaving points on the…

  • Recap

    Colorado State: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Colorado State sits at 2–10 after a 42–21 home loss to Air Force in Week 14, a result that underscores the Rams' struggles this season. The team's GIE rating of –15.6 places them at 124th nationally, reflecting a roster that has…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Jackson Brousseau

GIE projects a -0.2 rating drop and a -0.9pp shift in playoff probability if Colorado State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

46 score

  • Quarterback 30% (4/6)
  • Offensive line 71% (12/17) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 28% (18/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 47% (20/28)
  • Secondary 96% (17/21)
  • Special teams 8% (5/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.7 rating

35 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Colorado State incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Oumar DiomandeLB From UConn UConn 167
D'Mon BrinsonS From UConn UConn 138
Juice VereenTE From UConn UConn 120
Elijah Mc-CantosS From App State App State 90
Stephon WrightDL From UConn UConn 79
Caleb PresleyCB From San José State San José State 42

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 32.7%
    27th — below avg
  • Red-zone TD rate 21.4%
    92th — elite
  • 4th-down aggression 36.4%
    50th — average
  • Late & close 4.6 yds/play
    33th — below avg

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.