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Conference game

Colorado State at Texas State

Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Colorado State 02160 27
Texas State Winner 2124210 66

GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 84%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Colorado State 16% Underdog
Texas State 84% Favorite
Texas State 90% CI
78–88%
Δ rating
Texas State +9.9

Texas State is the model's favorite at 84%. Colorado State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps