Beavers · Pac-12
Head coach JaMarcus Shephard Year 1 with Oregon State
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Oregon State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Houston Big 12 | Loss, 20-33 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Texas Tech Big 12 | Loss, 24-35 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs Montana Non-FBS | Win, 52-17 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 27 | at UTEP Mountain West | Win, 33-7 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at Colorado State Pac-12 | Win, 56-26 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs San Diego State Pac-12 | Win, 66-14 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Washington State Pac-12 | Win, 48-30 Final |
| Wk 8 | Bye | |
| Wk 9 Nov 1 | at Fresno State Pac-12 | Loss, 22-38 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 8 | vs Texas State Pac-12 | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Boise State Pac-12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 22 | vs Utah State Pac-12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -0.5 rating drop and a -2.1pp shift in playoff probability if Oregon State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=2 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
58 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.5 rating
21 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Eric OlsenTE From Utah Tech | Utah Tech | 117 |
| Xayvion NolandWR From UT Rio Grande Valley | UT Rio Grande Valley | 76 |
| Braden AtkinsonQB From Mercer | Mercer | 75 |
| Adonis McDanielWR From Mercer | Mercer | 64 |
| DeCorion TempleTE From Central Michigan | Central Michigan | 56 |
| Dylan LayneLB From Idaho | Idaho | 15 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
