2026 Week 6 · Conference game
San Diego State at Oregon State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Reser Stadium
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
58%
Oregon State
42%
Oregon State 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 6.3
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 58%. Oregon State has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Oregon State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Oregon State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Reser Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No