2026 Week 2
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Reser Stadium
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 21.8
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas Tech
95%
Oregon State
5%
Oregon State 90% CI: 4% – 7% Δ rating 27.4
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 95%. Oregon State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Oregon State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon State offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
53°F
Precipitation
13%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Reser Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No