Missouri: 2026 Week 7 recap

Missouri sits at 25th overall after a dominant 45-17 win over Florida in Week 5, though the rating held flat week-to-week—no movement up or down. The Tigers are 4-1 and tracking toward 8.5 expected wins by season's end, which puts them squarely on the playoff bubble at roughly a 54% chance to make it. The red-zone execution tells a cautionary tale: converting just 14% of trips into touchdowns means the offense is leaving points on the field in moments that matter most. Third-down conversion at 43% and late-game leverage performance around 4.7 show competence, but that red-zone rate is a drag on ceiling. Up next is Texas A&M at home in a game that could sharpen the stakes in the SEC race.