Cavaliers · ACC
Head coach Tony Elliott Year 5 with Virginia
No remaining game changes Virginia's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | vs NC State ACC | Win, 34-8 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 11 | vs Norfolk State Non-FBS | Win, 59-3 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs West Virginia Big 12 · neutral | Loss, 27-38 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Delaware Conference USA | Win, 42-3 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at Florida State ACC | Loss, 7-38 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Syracuse ACC | Win, 28-25 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at SMU ACC | Loss, 13-23 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 23 | vs Duke ACC | Loss, 16-19 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Wake Forest ACC | Loss, 7-51 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs California ACC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs North Carolina ACC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at Virginia Tech ACC | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
33 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+2.1 rating
31 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jekail MiddlebrookRB From Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | 162 |
| Jacquon GibsonWR From Massachusetts | Massachusetts | 120 |
| Jalen McNairS From Buffalo | Buffalo | 117 |
| Jaylen JonesS From Georgia State | Georgia State | 110 |
| Nnanna AnyanwuDE From UTSA | UTSA | 104 |
| Beau PribulaQB From Missouri | Missouri | 93 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
