2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Lane Stadium
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 8.1
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.6
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia
39%
Virginia Tech
61%
Virginia Tech 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 0.5
Virginia Tech is the model's favorite at 61%. Virginia has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Virginia Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia Tech offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Lane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No