Conference game
Virginia at SMU
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
 SMU Winner | 3 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: SMU at 83%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Virginia 17% Underdog
SMU 83% Favorite
SMU is the model's favorite at 83%. Virginia has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.0 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.