UAB
Blazers · American Athletic
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
Season Projection · 2026 W2
10,000 simsPath to Glory
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
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at Louisianaon road · Sep 20Win0%+0ppLoss0% -
at Louisianaon road · Sep 20Win0%+0ppLoss0% -
at Louisianaon road · Sep 20Win0%+0ppLoss0% -
vs UTSAat home · Nov 21Win0%+0ppLoss0% -
vs UTSAat home · Nov 21Win0%+0ppLoss0%
Returning production · 2026
- Quarterback 100% (7/7 )
- Offensive line 89% (17/19 players)
- Skill (RB/WR/TE) 53% (23/28 )
- Front 7 (DL/LB) 45% (17/27 )
- Secondary 64% (14/20 )
- Special teams 100% (5/5 )
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
39 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
- Elijah Hall DL ← Liberty 98 impact
- Bam McReynolds RB ← UL Monroe 97 impact
- Ja'Vin Simpkins RB ← Coastal Carolina 93 impact
- Jeremiah Jordan DB ← Memphis 70 impact
- Darrell Sweeting DB ← Marshall 68 impact
- Muaaz Byard LB ← Middle Tennessee 60 impact
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
GIE projects a 4.3 rating drop and a 17.4pp shift in playoff probability if UAB loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=2 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Situational efficiency · 2025
FBS percentile rank- 3rd-down conversion 43.5% 87th — strong
- Red-zone TD rate 17.5% 74th — strong
- 4th-down aggression 50.0% 94th — elite
- Late & close 4.6 yds/play 37th — below avg
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
- Wk 1Sep 4
atIllinoisBig Ten2%Win prob - Wk 2Sep 12
vsUL MonroeSun Belt85%Win prob - Wk 3Sep 20
atLouisianaSun Belt24%Win prob - Wk 4Sep 25
vsNavyAmerican Athletic12%Win prob - Wk 5Oct 3vsSamford—
- Wk 6Oct 10
atMemphisAmerican Athletic7%Win prob - Wk 7Oct 15
vsEast CarolinaAmerican Athletic17%Win prob - Wk 9Oct 31
atSouth FloridaAmerican Athletic9%Win prob - Wk 10Nov 7
vsCharlotteAmerican Athletic76%Win prob - Wk 11Nov 14
atTempleAmerican Athletic20%Win prob - Wk 12Nov 21
vsUTSAAmerican Athletic15%Win prob - Wk 13Nov 28
atNorth TexasAmerican Athletic26%Win prob
Latest Stories
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Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.