2026 Week 13 · Conference game
UAB at North Texas
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
DATCU Stadium
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 3.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
28%
North Texas
72%
North Texas 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 5.9
North Texas is the model's favorite at 72%. UAB has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
48 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No