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2026 Week 2

UL Monroe at UAB

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Protective Stadium

UL Monroe
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-28.9
National rank
136
Proj. wins
3.1
Playoff prob.
0%
UAB
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-17.5
National rank
124
Proj. wins
3.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UL Monroe
12%
UAB
88%
UAB 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 11.4

UAB is the model's favorite at 88%. UL Monroe has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UL Monroe offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UAB offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
93°F
Precipitation
17%
Wind
2 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Protective Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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