UL Monroe
Warhawks · Sun Belt
- GIE rank
- #137
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1250
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 1-7
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 2-10
- 12-game season
Head coach Bryant Vincent Year 3 with UL Monroe
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 1.7
- 0.7 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 1 to 3
- Final rank (90%)
- #137 (134–138)
- Make playoff
- 0%
- Win conference
- 0%
Path to glory
No remaining game changes UL Monroe's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Mississippi State SEC | Loss, 13-62 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at UAB American Athletic | Loss, 20-26 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs SE Louisiana Non-FBS | Loss, 35-38 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 27 | vs Florida Atlantic American Athletic | Loss, 17-45 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at South Alabama Sun Belt | Loss, 35-52 Final |
| Wk 6 | Bye | |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | vs Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | Loss, 0-24 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Troy Sun Belt | Win, 21-14 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Southern Miss Sun Belt | Loss, 21-35 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Arkansas State Sun Belt | |
| Wk 11 Nov 13 | vs Louisiana Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at App State Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Marshall Sun Belt | |
In the news
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
If QB1 is out
GIE projects a -2.1 rating drop and a -8.2pp shift in playoff probability if UL Monroe loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Returning production · 2026
66 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−1.3 rating
14 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Cade CallahanTE From Merrimack | Merrimack | 56 |
| Bryce AndersonTE From Memphis | Memphis | 40 |
| Armoni RueDB From UTSA | UTSA | 6 |
| Austin CarlisleQB From Houston | Houston | 2 |
| Jase HoathTE From Tennessee State | Tennessee State | 2 |
| Taijh OvertonS From Arkansas | Arkansas | 1 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.