2026 Week 5 · Conference game
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Hancock Whitney Stadium
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -28.9
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.6
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UL Monroe
15%
South Alabama
85%
South Alabama 90% CI: 80% – 89% Δ rating 14.3
South Alabama is the model's favorite at 85%. UL Monroe has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UL Monroe offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Alabama offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No