South Alabama
Jaguars · Sun Belt
- GIE rank
- #106
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1441
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 4-4
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 6-6
- 12-game season
Head coach Major Applewhite Year 3 with South Alabama
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 5.7
- 1.7 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 4 to 7
- Final rank (90%)
- #106 (91–120)
- Make playoff
- 0%
- Win conference
- 0%
Path to glory
No remaining game changes South Alabama's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs SE Louisiana Non-FBS | Win, 39-14 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Tulane American Athletic | Loss, 24-28 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Ohio Mid-American | Win, 41-36 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Kentucky SEC | Loss, 21-45 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs UL Monroe Sun Belt | Win, 52-35 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 8 | at Arkansas State Sun Belt | Win, 56-49 Final |
| Wk 7 | Bye | |
| Wk 8 Oct 20 | at Marshall Sun Belt | Loss, 13-20 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | Loss, 20-35 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Louisiana Sun Belt | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Troy Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Southern Miss Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 27 | vs App State Sun Belt | |
In the news
- How to watch South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Live stream College Football, NCAA, TV Channel (opens in a new tab)
- South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction, Pick, NCAAF Odds for Thursday, October 8 (opens in a new tab)
- Kentucky inexplicably dropped out of the AP Poll. This is why voters should feel bad about themselves. (opens in a new tab)
- How to watch SE Louisiana vs South Alabama: Live stream NCAA College Football, TV channel (opens in a new tab)
- Early Scouting Report: South Alabama Jaguars (opens in a new tab)
- Ryley Harrison headlines Arizona transfer class (opens in a new tab) Arizona (GIE shift +8.0): Arizona added four offensive contributors via transfer portal, headlined by South Alabama's Ryley Harrison. Harrison demonstrated tournament-level performance in a mid-major context. Yoder arrives from Liberty's FBS program. The additions address offensive depth and experience, though mid-major to Power Four transitions require scheme adjustment periods. Overall roster composition improves, but on-field impact depends on integration speed and competition level differential. South Alabama (GIE shift -12.0): Loss of Harrison removes a proven offensive contributor who helped guide South Alabama to NCAA Tournament appearance. Replacement requires development of backup options or portal acquisition. Offensive continuity disrupted mid-roster cycle. Recent tournament success relied on established chemistry; departure creates depth chart gap requiring scheme adjustment or personnel reallocation. Program must identify successor to maintain offensive production levels. Liberty (GIE shift -8.0): Liberty loses offensive contributor Kaylan Yoder to Arizona transfer portal. Yoder's departure reduces depth in the offensive skill positions and requires internal roster adjustment. The impact depends on Yoder's role in Liberty's 2027 scheme and available replacements. Offensive continuity may be affected if Yoder held significant snaps or special teams responsibilities. Program must address the vacancy through recruiting or existing roster utilization.
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
75 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−1.2 rating
14 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Everett HunterTE From Nicholls | Nicholls | 56 |
| Seidrion LangstonLB From UL Monroe | UL Monroe | 33 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr.LB From Arkansas State | Arkansas State | 28 |
| Christian RossLB From Holy Cross | Holy Cross | 6 |
| D.J. MooreS From Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | 3 |
| Masey LewisDL From McNeese | McNeese | 1 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.