Conference game
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 South Alabama Winner | 14 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 56 |
 Arkansas State | 7 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 68%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
South Alabama 32% Underdog
Arkansas State 68% Favorite
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 68%. South Alabama has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=45 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.