Conference game
South Alabama at Louisiana
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
South Alabama 15% Underdog
Louisiana 85% Favorite
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 85%. South Alabama has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Alabama offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup