Conference game
App State at South Alabama
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 3:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
App State 69% Favorite
South Alabama 31% Underdog
App State is the model's favorite at 69%. South Alabama has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.0 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=36 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
South Alabama offense
35 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup