2026 Week 10 · Conference game
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Centennial Bank Stadium
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -28.9
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UL Monroe
8%
Arkansas State
92%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 17.3
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 92%. UL Monroe has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UL Monroe offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No