Conference game

UTSA at UAB

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

UTSA 75% Favorite

UAB 25% Underdog

UTSA 90% CI: 67–81%
Δ rating: UTSA +13.9

UTSA is the model's favorite at 75%. UAB has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=25 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

UTSA and UAB compared
Measure	UTSA American Athletic	UAB American Athletic
Record	7-1	4-4
Rating	3.5	−10.4
National rank	59	110
Proj. wins	9.9	6.0
Playoff prob.	30%	0%

Game info

Venue: Protective Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UTSA offense Higher fit 48 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

UAB offense 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup