2026 Week 9 · Conference game
UAB at South Florida
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Raymond James Stadium
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 3.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.7
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
10%
South Florida
90%
South Florida 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 15.8
South Florida is the model's favorite at 90%. UAB has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Florida offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No