2026 Week 6 · Conference game
UAB at Memphis
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 3.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 0.3
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
8%
Memphis
92%
Memphis 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 17.8
Memphis is the model's favorite at 92%. UAB has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Memphis offense
47 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No