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James Madison

Dukes · Sun Belt

GIE rank
#28
of 138 FBS
Rating
1680
2026 Week 10
Record
7-2
2026 season
Proj record
9-3
12-game season

Head coach Billy Napier Year 1 with James Madison

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
9.1
2.1 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
8 to 10
Final rank (90%)
#26 (17–40)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
73%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes James Madison's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Liberty Conference USA Win, 20-13 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Wagner Non-FBS Win, 87-3 Final
Wk 3 Sep 20 at San Diego State Pac-12 Win, 26-13 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Old Dominion Sun Belt Win, 46-20 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Marshall Sun Belt Win, 45-17 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Georgia Southern Sun Belt Win, 27-24 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Georgia State Sun Belt Win, 49-22 Final
Wk 8 Oct 22 at App State Sun Belt Loss, 31-34 Final
Wk 9 Oct 29 vs Troy Sun Belt Loss, 21-24 Final
Wk 10 Nov 6 at Southern Miss Sun Belt Win probability: 95%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at UConn FBS Independents Win probability: 72%
Wk 12 Bye
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Win probability: 95%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    James Madison: 2026 Week 7 recap

    James Madison sits at 5–0 and ranked 36th by GIE, though the model's rating remained flat week-over-week at 9.9. The Dukes' dominant 45–17 win over Marshall in Week 5 showcased their defensive prowess, but the offensive efficiency numbers…

  • Recap

    James Madison: 2026 Week 3 recap

    James Madison sits at 1–0 after a 20–13 Week 1 win over Liberty, holding a rating of –0.9 and ranked 70th by GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, reflecting a Dukes offense still finding its rhythm: a red-zone touchdown rate of…

  • Recap

    James Madison: 2025 Week 16 recap

    James Madison sits at 12–2 and holds a 12.3 rating in GIE's current standings, good for 27th overall. The Dukes dominated Troy 31–14 at home last week, a convincing performance that underscored their offensive efficiency in the Sun Belt.…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

36 score

  • Quarterback 10% (3/5)
  • Offensive line 65% (13/20) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 39% (20/27)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 35% (22/29)
  • Secondary 17% (18/25)
  • Special teams 100% (4/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.4 rating

30 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

James Madison incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Noah GreviousWR From VMI VMI 75
Nick HermanRB From Drake Drake 72
Jeremiah HarrisonWR From East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 59
Javis MynattS From Texas State Texas State 52
DJ KellyCB From Toledo Toledo 48
Seth CromwellRB From Northern Arizona Northern Arizona 44

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 42.7%
    84th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.6%
    50th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 38.5%
    63th — average
  • Late & close 3.8 yds/play
    21th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.