2026 Week 4 · Conference game
James Madison at Old Dominion
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -0.9
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 9.2
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.9
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
57%
Old Dominion
43%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 6.0
James Madison is the model's favorite at 57%. Old Dominion has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
25 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No