Monarchs · Sun Belt
Head coach Ricky Rahne Year 7 with Old Dominion
No remaining game changes Old Dominion's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Norfolk State Non-FBS | Win, 31-10 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Virginia Tech ACC | Loss, 21-44 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs East Carolina American Athletic | Loss, 17-20 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs James Madison Sun Belt | Loss, 20-46 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at Georgia State Sun Belt | Loss, 10-42 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at App State Sun Belt | Win, 10-3 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 15 | vs Georgia Southern Sun Belt | Loss, 15-23 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | Loss, 0-26 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Marshall Sun Belt | Loss, 23-36 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Coastal Carolina Sun Belt | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at UConn FBS Independents | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Southern Miss Sun Belt | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 0.6 rating drop and a 2.3pp shift in playoff probability if Old Dominion loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
49 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.3 rating
13 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall HarrisWR From Mercer | Mercer | 44 |
| Jaxon PotterQB From Washington State | Washington State | 25 |
| Leon Haughton Jr.TE From Maryland | Maryland | 17 |
| Bucci FarmerDL From App State | App State | 13 |
| Ja'Mez DrummerLB From Towson | Towson | 12 |
| Jivan BalyCB From NC State | NC State | 8 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
