2026 Week 3
East Carolina at Old Dominion
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.9
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
46%
Old Dominion
54%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 44% – 63% Δ rating 4.6
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 54%. East Carolina has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No