2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Marshall at James Madison
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Bridgeforth Stadium
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.2
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -0.9
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 9.2
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Marshall
19%
James Madison
81%
James Madison 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 7.3
James Madison is the model's favorite at 81%. Marshall has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for James Madison — venue-specific learned value (n=21 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Marshall offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
James Madison offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No