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James Madison at UConn

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

James Madison 75% Favorite
UConn 25% Underdog
James Madison 90% CI
67–81%
Δ rating
James Madison +10.2

James Madison is the model's favorite at 75%. UConn has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

James Madison offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UConn offense 31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup