James Madison at San Diego State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Madison Winner | 10 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 26 |
 San Diego State | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
GIE pre-game call: James Madison at 88%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
James Madison 88% Favorite
San Diego State 12% Underdog
James Madison is the model's favorite at 88%. San Diego State has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific night-game value (n=26 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- San Diego State recap San Diego State: 2026 Week 3 recap San Diego State sits at 65th nationally with a 1–0 record after demolishing Portland State 53–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating held steady at 0.7, suggesting the model views that margin as expected rather than transformative. The Aztecs'…
- James Madison recap James Madison: 2026 Week 3 recap James Madison sits at 1–0 after a 20–13 Week 1 win over Liberty, holding a rating of –0.9 and ranked 70th by GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, reflecting a Dukes offense still finding its rhythm: a red-zone touchdown rate of…