2026 Week 3
James Madison at San Diego State
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Snapdragon Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -0.9
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 9.2
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
40%
San Diego State
60%
San Diego State 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 1.6
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 60%. James Madison has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
San Diego State offense
23 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No