Golden Bears · ACC
Head coach Tosh Lupoi Year 1 with California
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes California's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs UCLA Big Ten | Loss, 24-45 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Syracuse ACC | Win, 21-18 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Wagner Non-FBS | Win, 49-7 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Clemson ACC | Loss, 10-24 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at UNLV Mountain West | Loss, 31-39 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Virginia Tech ACC | Win, 25-20 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | vs Wake Forest ACC | Loss, 7-41 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at SMU ACC | Loss, 20-59 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at NC State ACC | Loss, 10-31 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Virginia ACC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Stanford ACC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Pittsburgh ACC | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
53 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+1.0 rating
32 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Dorian ThomasTE From New Mexico | New Mexico | 220 |
| Chase HendricksWR From Ohio | Ohio | 189 |
| Ian StrongWR From Rutgers | Rutgers | 139 |
| Ashten EmoryRB From UTEP | UTEP | 94 |
| Adam MohammedRB From Washington | Washington | 92 |
| Jackson BrousseauQB From Colorado State | Colorado State | 57 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
