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2026 Week 2 · Conference game

California at Syracuse

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

JMA Wireless Dome

California
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
3.0
National rank
59
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Syracuse
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.9
National rank
76
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

California
58%
Syracuse
42%
Syracuse 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 4.9

California is the model's favorite at 58%. Syracuse has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Syracuse — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

California offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Syracuse offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
65°F
Precipitation
20%
Wind
4 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
JMA Wireless Dome
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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