Conference game
California at SMU
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 California | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
 SMU Winner | 10 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 59 |
GIE pre-game call: SMU at 97%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
California 3% Underdog
SMU 97% Favorite
SMU is the model's favorite at 97%. California has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.0 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.