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Miami (OH)

RedHawks · Mid-American

GIE rank
#81
of 138 FBS
Rating
1516
2026 Week 10
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Chuck Martin

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.9
1.9 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#81 (60–101)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
1%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Miami (OH)'s playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at Pittsburgh ACC Loss, 14-59 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Holy Cross Non-FBS Win, 45-7 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Cincinnati Big 12 Loss, 31-35 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs UConn FBS Independents Win, 24-21 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Bowling Green Mid-American Loss, 20-24 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Massachusetts Mid-American Win, 20-19 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Akron Mid-American Win, 34-14 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Central Michigan Mid-American Win, 28-27 Final
Wk 9 Bye
Wk 10 Nov 4 vs Buffalo Mid-American Win probability: 78%
Wk 11 Nov 11 vs Ohio Mid-American Win probability: 49%
Wk 12 Nov 18 at Kent State Mid-American Win probability: 86%
Wk 13 Nov 24 at Western Michigan Mid-American Win probability: 38%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Miami (OH): 2026 Week 7 recap

    Miami (OH) sits at 2–3 with a GIE rating of –4.3, holding steady at rank 88 after a one-point loss to Bowling Green in Week 5. The RedHawks' offensive efficiency remains the core problem: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 15%,…

  • Recap

    Miami (OH): 2026 Week 3 recap

    Miami (OH) sits at 0–1 after a brutal 59–14 road loss to Pittsburgh in Week 1, holding a rating of –4 and ranking 85th per GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, a concerning sign given the Redhawks face an immediate test at home…

  • Recap

    Miami (OH): 2025 Week 16 recap

    Miami (OH) sits at 7–7 after dropping a road contest to Western Michigan, 23–13, in Week 15. The RedHawks' rating stands at –3.4, placing them 82nd in GIE's assessment—a position that reflects a season caught between competitiveness and…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Dequan Finn

GIE projects a 3.2 rating drop and a 12.8pp shift in playoff probability if Miami (OH) loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=6 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

39 score

  • Quarterback 22% (1/5)
  • Offensive line 63% (10/16) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 28% (16/31)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 40% (26/37)
  • Secondary 39% (10/17)
  • Special teams 89% (4/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.3 rating

26 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Miami (OH) incoming transfers
Player From Impact
CJ YoungLB From Kent State Kent State 191
Rodney NelsonRB From Monmouth Monmouth 142
Blayne MyrickLB From South Alabama South Alabama 90
Maleek HugginsWR From Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 77
Christian RossTE From Memphis Memphis 68
Mikah ColemanDL From Cincinnati Cincinnati 68

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 30.8%
    17th — bottom tier
  • Red-zone TD rate 15.1%
    54th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 32.3%
    30th — below avg
  • Late & close 8.8 yds/play
    97th — elite

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.