Conference game
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Buffalo 27% Underdog
Miami (OH) 73% Favorite
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 73%. Buffalo has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific night-game value (n=41 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Buffalo offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Miami (OH) offense
35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup