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2026 Week 3 · Neutral site

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

TQL Stadium

Miami (OH)
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-3.4
National rank
82
Proj. wins
6.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
4.5
National rank
56
Proj. wins
5.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Miami (OH)
27%
Cincinnati
73%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 7.9

Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 73%. Miami (OH) has a 27% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Miami (OH) offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Cincinnati offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
TQL Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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