Conference game
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Tuesday, November 24, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Miami (OH) 39% Underdog
Western Michigan 61% Favorite
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 61%. Miami (OH) has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
32 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup