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UNLV

Rebels · Mountain West

GIE rank
#59
of 138 FBS
Rating
1576
2026 Week 10
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Dan Mullen Year 2 with UNLV

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
7.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#60 (41–80)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
1%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes UNLV's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Aug 30 vs Memphis American Athletic Loss, 21-27 Final
Wk 1 Sep 6 at Hawai'i Mountain West Win, 21-6 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at North Texas American Athletic Loss, 6-44 Final
Wk 3 Bye
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Akron Mid-American Win, 38-10 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs California ACC Win, 39-31 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs North Dakota State Mountain West Win, 13-7 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Air Force Mountain West Loss, 31-41 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Nov 1 vs Northern Illinois Mountain West Win, 31-24 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Wyoming Mountain West Win probability: 72%
Wk 11 Nov 15 at New Mexico Mountain West Win probability: 15%
Wk 12 Nov 22 at San José State Mountain West Win probability: 70%
Wk 13 Nov 29 vs Nevada Mountain West Win probability: 60%

Latest stories

Stories about UNLV will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

52 score

  • Quarterback 3% (3/5)
  • Offensive line 88% (15/17) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 73% (24/27)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 77% (29/31)
  • Secondary 64% (16/22)
  • Special teams 24% (5/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.8 rating

19 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

UNLV incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Taz ReddicksWR From Oregon State Oregon State 72
Jackson ArnoldQB From Auburn Auburn 67
Landyn ClevelandS From Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 49
Amorion WalkerWR From Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee 37
Tony-Louis NkubaDB From Arizona State Arizona State 25
Mark IheanachorLB From SMU SMU 17

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 41.4%
    77th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 19.1%
    85th — strong
  • 4th-down aggression 35.4%
    46th — average
  • Late & close 6.5 yds/play
    82th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.