2026 Week 6 · Conference game
North Dakota State at UNLV
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Allegiant Stadium
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -1.8
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
29%
UNLV
71%
UNLV 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 5.4
UNLV is the model's favorite at 71%. North Dakota State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=29 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UNLV offense
26 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No