2026 Week 2
UNLV at North Texas
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC
DATCU Stadium
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UNLV
84%
North Texas
16%
North Texas 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 15.2
UNLV is the model's favorite at 84%. North Texas has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UNLV offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
86°F
Precipitation
13%
Wind
14 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No