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Kent State

Golden Flashes · Mid-American

GIE rank
#128
of 138 FBS
Rating
1335
2026 Week 10
Record
3-6
2026 season
Proj record
4-8
12-game season

Head coach Mark Carney Year 2 with Kent State

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
3.9
0.9 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
3 to 5
Final rank (90%)
#130 (122–134)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Kent State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at South Carolina SEC Loss, 0-57 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Wofford Non-FBS Win, 36-15 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Ohio State Big Ten Loss, 3-59 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Ball State Mid-American Win, 26-13 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Ohio Mid-American Loss, 10-13 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Western Michigan Mid-American Loss, 7-38 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at South Florida American Athletic Loss, 2-29 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Akron Mid-American Win, 35-20 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Sacramento State Mid-American Loss, 10-31 Final
Wk 10 Bye
Wk 11 Nov 11 at Bowling Green Mid-American Win probability: 33%
Wk 12 Nov 18 vs Miami (OH) Mid-American Win probability: 14%
Wk 13 Nov 25 at Eastern Michigan Mid-American Win probability: 24%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Kent State: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Kent State sits at 2–3 after a 13–10 home loss to Ohio in Week 5, with a rating of –22.4 that ranks 130th nationally. The stagnant rating reflects deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of 13% and third-down conversion rate of 31%…

  • Recap

    Kent State: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Kent State sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 blowout loss to South Carolina, with no movement in GIE's rating at –22.4 (129th nationally). The 57–0 defeat exposed fundamental offensive struggles: a 13% red-zone touchdown rate and just 31%…

  • Recap

    Kent State: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Kent State sits at 5–7 after a 35–31 road win over Northern Illinois in Week 14, a result that briefly interrupted a difficult stretch. The Golden Flashes carry a GIE rating of –19.3, ranking 130th nationally—a position that reflects…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Dru Deshields

GIE projects a -5.9 rating drop and a -23.4pp shift in playoff probability if Kent State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

54 score

  • Quarterback 92% (3/7)
  • Offensive line 53% (8/15) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 33% (19/32)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 32% (14/24)
  • Secondary 36% (11/17)
  • Special teams 12% (4/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−1.5 rating

14 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Kent State incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Norey JohnsonDB From Houston Christian Houston Christian 10
Semaj BridgemanLB From Michigan State Michigan State 9
Rocco NichollLB From South Florida South Florida 4
Quan Rhodes-McKeeLB From Duquesne Duquesne 4
Mason KingRB From Illinois State Illinois State 3
Jakorion CaffeyRB From Cincinnati Cincinnati 1

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 30.6%
    17th — bottom tier
  • Red-zone TD rate 12.9%
    32th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 39.6%
    65th — average
  • Late & close 4.7 yds/play
    39th — below avg

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.