Conference game
Kent State at Bowling Green
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Kent State 56% Favorite
Bowling Green 44% Underdog
Kent State is the model's favorite at 56%. Bowling Green has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +-5.0 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific night-game value (n=43 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kent State offense
35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Bowling Green offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup