2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Ohio at Kent State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Dix Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kent State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -22.4
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
70%
Kent State
30%
Kent State 90% CI: 23% – 38% Δ rating 10.6
Ohio is the model's favorite at 70%. Kent State has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kent State — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kent State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Dix Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No