Delaware at New Mexico State

Delaware 90% CI

42–60%

Δ rating

Delaware +1.7

Delaware is the model's favorite at 51%. New Mexico State has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=39 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.