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Delaware

Blue Hens · Conference USA

GIE rank
#79
of 138 FBS
Rating
1522
2026 Week 10
Record
4-4
2026 season
Proj record
6-6
12-game season

Head coach Ryan Carty Year 2 with Delaware

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#78 (59–97)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Delaware's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 3 vs Merrimack Non-FBS Win, 42-7 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at Vanderbilt SEC Loss, 26-35 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Win, 22-14 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Virginia ACC Loss, 3-42 Final
Wk 5 Oct 2 vs Liberty Conference USA Loss, 14-30 Final
Wk 6 Bye
Wk 7 Oct 13 at Middle Tennessee Conference USA Loss, 30-33 Final
Wk 8 Oct 20 vs Missouri State Conference USA Win, 61-38 Final
Wk 9 Oct 27 at Western Kentucky Conference USA Win, 35-21 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 at Kennesaw State Conference USA Win probability: 49%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Florida International Conference USA Win probability: 46%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at New Mexico State Conference USA Win probability: 48%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Jacksonville State Conference USA Win probability: 30%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Delaware: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Delaware sits at 2–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's rankings since last week, holding steady at No. 110 with a rating of -10.7. The Fightin' Blue Hens took a 30–14 loss at home to Liberty in Week 5—a deficit that underscores their larger…

  • Recap

    Delaware: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Delaware sits at 113th overall after a dominant 42–7 win over Merrimack in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at –12.9, suggesting the model views that opener as noise against a weak opponent. The Fightin' Blue Hens face a massive…

  • Analysis

    Delaware rises 46 ELO points this week

    Delaware's 46-point Elo gain traces entirely to a 42-7 win over Merrimack in Week 1, a result that moved the Fightin' Blue Hens from a 1364 rating to 1410. The magnitude of that jump reflects the gap between expectation and outcome: a…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

91 score

  • Quarterback 99% (4/6)
  • Offensive line 94% (15/16) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 77% (30/33)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 96% (26/29)
  • Secondary 77% (15/21)
  • Special teams 100% (5/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−1.2 rating

11 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Delaware incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Bryson GravesWR From Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 83
Kaderris RobertsRB From Bowling Green Bowling Green 50
Jaquise AlexanderCB From North Dakota State North Dakota State 15
Jalen BellLB From Long Island University Long Island University 10
Da'Wain LoftonWR From Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 2
Sam SiafaDE From Penn State Penn State 2

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 41.8%
    79th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 16.5%
    68th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 42.7%
    77th — strong
  • Late & close 5.7 yds/play
    68th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.