2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Sam Houston at Liberty
Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Williams Stadium (VA)
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.0
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 2.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.3
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
7%
Liberty
93%
Liberty 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 20.7
Liberty is the model's favorite at 93%. Sam Houston has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.0 rating points baked in for Liberty — venue-specific night-game value (n=40 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Liberty offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Williams Stadium (VA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No