Conference game
Sacramento State at Ball State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento State | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
 Ball State Winner | 0 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Ball State at 83%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Sacramento State 17% Underdog
Ball State 83% Favorite
Ball State is the model's favorite at 83%. Sacramento State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Ball State — venue-specific learned value (n=42 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.