2026 Week 15 · Conference game · Neutral site
Navy at Army
Saturday, December 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
MetLife Stadium
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.2
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.4
- National rank
- 81
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
61%
Army
39%
Army 90% CI: 30% – 48% Δ rating 3.6
Navy is the model's favorite at 61%. Army has a 39% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Navy offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Army offense
27 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, December 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- MetLife Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- Yes