2026 Week 12 · Conference game
North Texas at Tulane
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Yulman Stadium
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.3
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
17%
Tulane
83%
Tulane 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 7.3
Tulane is the model's favorite at 83%. North Texas has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulane offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No